Looking at the start up, I would say its a three horse race at the moment
1 TuToR
Good base of active and good players with some new players to the game, they are in one of the best places they could be to learn the ins and outs of TW
2 RaGe
Don't know much about them seem to be active but time will tell
3 G~T
My tribe, for some reason the last few world my tribes have done well, thats not just down to me, its down to the poeple that run the tribe along side me, I think we'll be top 5 for a long time, but time will tell
As for the rest some might last, but when nobles come out ( before the Xmas break for some ) then we'll see what tribe will last and what tribe will run for the hills